There is little to report about the progress of an armed mutiny that has been undertaken by the owner of the Wagner Private Military company,Yevgeni Prigozhin. Russian news channels have had a near black-out on developments and one can only glean fragmentary information regarding where the greatest threats to the government are found.

The capital, Moscow, and the Moscow oblast have taken extraordinary measures to enforce security, though it is most likely the perceived threat is from possible defections to the mutiny from the regular army and security organs, not from advancing units of the Wagner Group. We have been told that Prigozhin began his rebellion by claiming his troops were under air attack from the regular army. He denounced the Ministry of Defense, denounced the war on Ukraine as having been initiated without need to suit the ambitions of Russia’s top generals. He is clearly seeking to win over…