Certain credible sources report that a tactical nuclear option might be “on the table” with at least some of the members of the Russian Security Council. Though TNW has never been on the table throughout the conflict in Ukraine and has never been discussed up until now, there are signals that a certain number of Security Council members are at least prepared to consider such a scenario.

The worst-case option under discussion is predetermined by increasing sophisticated military supplies from NATO countries to Ukraine. Security Council members are looking at the delivery of Western high-precision and long-range systems and munitions to the Ukrainian theatre, as well as the participation of Western military personnel in on-the-ground combat (so far, it appears that Poles will be operating certain equipment, as training Ukrainian soldiers takes time, and Western powers appear to be very short on time for further escalation).

It seems that the…